Costco's growth slowing down

The American warehouse club giant has seen the slowest growth since Q3/2015, as the Q1/2023 revenue growth slowed to 2%. However, one should not forget that Costco has reported positive quarterly growth for 55 quarters.

The growth rate was driven by International, where Costco grew by 8,4% compared to 1,8% growth in the rather saturated US market (Excluding the impacts from changes in gasoline prices and foreign exchange). Regarding International, in Europe, Costco operates mainly in the UK with 30+ warehouses. However, the company is expanding in many European markets, such as Spain, France, and Sweden.

The biggest growth story for Costco by far is China. The company opened its first warehouse a couple of years ago and is now picking up pace with new openings. China poses a huge growth opportunity for Costco.

China is a big story this year for us. One of the stories is that we opened our first unit in China three and a half, four years ago; our second, a year and a half ago; our third, last December; and three more this year. We’re going to be at six at the end of this year.
— Richard Galanti, CFO, Costco

The growth slowdown is emblematic of the overall cooling of consumption in the US. Many non-food retailers have reported low or negative growth numbers. This trend also highlights the strength of the Walmart quarter with +7,6% growth. Grocery did drive growth for Walmart. However, Costco also relies heavily on groceries.

The other comparison from Walmart is their warehouse club chain Sam’s Club, which reported 4,6% growth in the US (more than double of Costco).

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